Multi-organ aging quantified from routine chest CT predicts chronic disease risk and mortality

The science

Original title

Multi-organ aging quantified from routine chest CT predicts chronic disease risk and mortality.

Authors

Sato J, Salehjahromi M, Zafar A et al.

Journal

medRxiv : the preprint server for health sciences

Published

Oct 24, 2026

Study type

Study

PMID

42922607 ↗

DOI

10.64898/2026.08.26.26361434 ↗

Abstract

Biological aging occurs heterogeneously across individuals and organs. However, current measures of biological age incompletely capture organ-specific differences in health and disease risk. Because chest CT visualizes multiple thoracic organs, it offers an opportunity to quantify structural aging across organ systems. Here, we developed MOSAIC-Age, a framework characterizing eight organ-specific aging clocks on chest CT. The clocks were developed and validated using 9,971 CT scans from CT-RATE and MIDRC, and subsequently locked and applied to two independent prospective cohorts with 35,293 participants from the National Lung Screening Trial and Genetic Epidemiology of COPD study. CT-derived biological age gaps (BAGs) were examined in relation to lifestyle and socioeconomic factors, prevalent comorbidities, incident chronic diseases, and all-cause and cause-specific mortality. Higher BAGs, indicating organs that appeared older on CT than expected for their chronological age, were broadly associated with adverse health characteristics, chronic disease burden, and increased mortality risk. Multiple disease outcomes were associated with aging across several organs, whereas in multivariable analyses including all eight organ-specific BAGs, the remaining associations were more organ specific. A greater number of markedly older-appearing organs and a faster pace of aging were each associated with higher mortality. Together, these findings demonstrate that routine chest CT captures both shared and organ-specific patterns of biological aging and establish CT-derived organ aging as a quantitative imaging biomarker for assessing multi-organ health and long-term disease risk.

Read it on PubMed ↗