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Plasma Neurofilament Light Chain is Markedly Elevated in General Hospital Inpatients with Delirium

Early results, not yet checked by other scientists · medRxiv · Oct 20, 2026

What this means

To determine whether plasma neurofilament light chain (NfL) and glial fibrillary acidic protein (GFAP) are elevated in hospitalised patients with delirium relative to patients with dementia and primary psychiatric disorders (PPD). Methods and analysis: This was a cross-sectional observational study conducted at the Royal Melbourne Hospital, Melbourne, Australia, between April and October 2024, with comparator samples from a research biobank.

A plain-English summary is on its way. Until then, this is the start of the authors' own summary.

Tested inNot stated
Who it was tested in
Not stated
Kind of research
Early results, not yet checked by other scientists

The science

Original title
Plasma Neurofilament Light Chain is Markedly Elevated in General Hospital Inpatients with Delirium
Authors
Kang, M. J., Eratne, D., Borchard, T. et al.
Journal
medRxiv (preprint, not yet peer reviewed)
Published
Oct 20, 2026
Study type
Preprint

Abstract

Objective: To determine whether plasma neurofilament light chain (NfL) and glial fibrillary acidic protein (GFAP) are elevated in hospitalised patients with delirium relative to patients with dementia and primary psychiatric disorders (PPD). Methods and analysis: This was a cross-sectional observational study conducted at the Royal Melbourne Hospital, Melbourne, Australia, between April and October 2024, with comparator samples from a research biobank. In Phase 1 (Delirium Discovery Cohort), we measured plasma NfL and GFAP using the Single molecule array (Simoa) platform in hospitalised patients with delirium and compared them with dementia and PPD groups. Biomarker concentrations were the primary outcome and were compared using general linear models adjusted for age, sex, and estimated glomerular filtration rate, with bootstrapped confidence intervals. Discriminative performance was assessed as a secondary outcome using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis. In Phase 2, we applied this threshold to independent dementia and PPD groups. Results: In Phase 1 (n =176), inpatients with delirium showed higher concentrations of both NfL and GFAP than patients with dementia ({beta} = 0.78; 95% CI [0.37, 1.20] and {beta} = 0.39 [0.07, 0.73] respectively) or PPD groups ({beta} = 1.17; [0.69, 1.66] and {beta} = 0.83 [0.51, 1.24] respectively). ROC curve analysis for differentiating delirium from dementia and PPD groups yielded an optimal NfL threshold of 24.1 pg/mL (AUC = 0.89, 96% sensitivity, 70% specificity). In comparison, GFAP showed lower accuracy (AUC = 0.85), and combining NfL with GFAP (AUC = 0.90) did not significantly improve performance. In Phase 2 (n = 154), the NfL threshold of > 24 pg/ml maintained strong performance (AUC = 0.95, 96% sensitivity, and 77% specificity). Conclusions: Plasma NfL shows promise as a biomarker for delirium in hospitalised patients, distinguishing it with high sensitivity from patients with dementia and PPD. Larger multicentre studies are needed to refine cut-offs, evaluate temporal dynamics, and determine integration into acute hospital delirium pathways.

Read it on medRxiv ↗

Kang, M. J., Eratne, D., Borchard, T. et al. Plasma Neurofilament Light Chain is Markedly Elevated in General Hospital Inpatients with Delirium. medRxiv. 2026. doi:10.64898/2026.10.18.26365854. https://doi.org/10.64898/2026.10.18.26365854

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